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Posts Tagged ‘betting strategy’

How to find very sure “sure bets”

I think that everyone knows something about “sure bets”. These are bets that, no matter who will win, you will gain. Of course, it’s quite impossible to find such bets at the same betting house, but you can bet on a quote at a bookmaker, and on another quote at another bookmaker.

However, I’ve uncovered the most easiest method to play on “sure bets”. It involves some risks, but it is quite sure. The secret is to combine pre-match bets with live bets. Let’s say we have a match with the following quotes:

1: 3,20 | X: 3,20 | 2: 2,10

Ok, let’s suppose that we want to bet 100$. We all know that if we bet 33.33% on each result, we will lose. If we try to equally share the risks, we will equally lose. In order to win we should have something like this:

1: 3,20 | X: 5,25 | 2: 2,10

But of course, no bookmaker will offer us such a wonderful opportunity. No bookmaker, except the bookmakers offering live betting!

Whoever plays live betting knows that the quotes are stable only as long as the result remains 0-0. However, statistically speaking, the 0-0 is the most rare football result. This means that when a team will score, the live X quote will instantly move from 3,20 to over 5,25. And that’s it! Place the bet and you will surely won something!

But remember, you must enter in the live bet having already placed separate bets on 1 and on 2 (or just place a bet on 1 or 2, if possible).  And your bets must be arbitraged. Just open an Excel and do the math. So, the secret is to bet on 1 and 2 and simply wait for the X quote during the live bet to become “sure bet”!

Betting psychology :)

Ok, so in 3 days, playing with the system, I’ve almost doubled the bank (from 45 to 82 RON) then I’ve lost 95% of my gain betting on a single match, but outside the system :) It’s time for some conclusions.

  1. The biggest problem of a gambling addicted (like myself!) is to refrain himself from betting. :) I was perfectly aware that the match Stabaek vs. Tonberg FK doesn’t fit in the system (so it’s risky), however I decided to bet. If you want to make money from the bookies, you must perfectly manage the art of refrain.
  2. The bookmakers know that the average gambler either will play small stakes on big quotes, or big stakes on small, “sure” quotes, in order to ensure a nice gain. The bookmakers knows that the gambler simply wants to earn a lot of money. If you want to earn something, you will have to understand this! So, what’s the most logical way to earn something? Betting big money on big quotes? Of course not. Instead of this, you should try to bet small on small quotes, but make it several times on a row.