Inius Trivia

Archive for June, 2010

Ok, so in 3 days, playing with the system, I’ve almost doubled the bank (from 45 to 82 RON) then I’ve lost 95% of my gain betting on a single match, but outside the system It’s time for some conclusions.

1. The biggest problem of a gambling addicted (like myself!) is to refrain himself from betting. I was perfectly aware that the match Stabaek vs. Tonberg FK doesn’t fit in the system (so it’s risky), however I decided to bet. If you want to make money from the bookies, you must perfectly manage the art of refrain.
2. The bookmakers know that the average gambler either will play small stakes on big quotes, or big stakes on small, “sure” quotes, in order to ensure a nice gain. The bookmakers knows that the gambler simply wants to earn a lot of money. If you want to earn something, you will have to understand this! So, what’s the most logical way to earn something? Betting big money on big quotes? Of course not. Instead of this, you should try to bet small on small quotes, but make it several times on a row.

Today I’ve decided to bet on a single match. It’s a Cup match in Norway, it’s a bet against the system, but the Norwegian cup is a competition where very few surprises arise.

Stabaek vs. Tonberg FK, 1 @ 1.15

bet lost! After 90 minutes the score was 2:2. New bank : 47,71 RON.

Tonberg is a 3rd division team that already made a big surprise in the last Cup round, when they kicked out (playing at home) one of the favorites, Valerenga. In that match they had 3:0 in the first half, than Valerenga won the second half 0:2 but the match finished 3:2. So, I realy doubt that they will be able to kick out another 1st league team, this time playing abroad. I think that 1st half of the match against Valerenga was simply an accident.

Remember some of the principles of my betting system:

• think the  bet as a stock exchange investment
• in stock exchange one would be extremely happy to see its portfolio growing with 5% in a day!

Today I decided to bet on:

Portugalia v. Mozambic 1 @ 1.12
St. Patricks v.  Bray Wanderers 1 @ 1.22

combo @ 1.37, stake 35 RON, bet won! New bank: 82,71 RON.

For Portugal this is the last match before the World Cup start, and it is a game against a very poor opponent. Mozambic is curently ranked around 130. On the other hand, Bray are one of the poorest teams in Irish first league (only 5 points in 12 matches) while St. Patricks are fighting for the title. The Bray team is also very young: their average age is around 21,21 years while St. Patricks are much more experienced, their average age being 25,47 years.