Inius Trivia

Archive for June, 2010

Under Traian Basescu’s presidency, Romania became the first dictatorship inside the EU. Here are the facts:

• Basescu controls all the secret services. Romania has now more “securitate” officers than under the Ceausescu’s regime, while hospitals cannot offer even an aspirin!
• Basescu was re-elected by massive fraud on 6 December 2009. Officialy, he lost the elections that took place inside the Romania’s borders by a narrow margin, but he was the “clear” winner of the elections that took place outside Romania. In embassies. Of course, all embassies were controled by his men!
• Romanian economy is governed by Basescu’s free will. In December 2004, in the very second day of his office, Basescu declared that Romanian fiscal system will drop the progressive tax and adopt a flat tax, despite the fact that preliminary studies showed that Romania cannot sustain such a tax. Starting with 2007, big spending deficits arised and now Romania is virtualy a bankrupted country. On May 6, 2010, during the negociations with IMF, Basescu announced that all the State salaries will be cut with 25% and all the pensions with 15% in order to cope with the spending deficits. Studies – and common sense! – showed that such mesures will make Romania’s depression even deeper.
• His will is beyond people’s will, Constitution and Parliament. When general elections took place in 2008, Social Democrat Party won the elections but he decided to nominate the prime minister from Democratic Party (his party). The Parliament voted against Emil Boc’s government on 12 September 2009, however Boc is still the Prime Minister today, on June 2010. In fact, Traian Basescu is de facto the Prime Minister of Romania. Whatever he says, Boc will execute.
• The Parliament under Basescu’s rule is nothing more than a cheap theatre. Yesterday they voted several times the same resolution until 2 AM. Finally the vote’s result was as needed by Basescu.
• Like any good dictator, he wants to shock. Caligula nominated his horse in the Senate. Basescu helped his daughter, who is notoriously stupid, to get a place in the European Parliament.

Romania is the second most poorest country in the EU. Our priorities should be the development of roads, a better public health system, a more focused educational system (in Romania, the school has nothing in common with the economy). Instead of these Romania, like Papa Doc’s Haiti, is spending a lot of money on “securitate” services. I really think that this guy will end like Ceausescu or, if not, he will be forced in a couple of years to fly to Paraguay or some other South American country.

Today I played on:

Ldb FC Malmo vs. Hammarby IF 1 @ 1.10
ROPS Rovaniemi vs. TPV 1 @ 1.18

combo 1.30, bet won! New bank: 73.26 RON

As usual, nordic women leagues are the golden egg. You simply cannot lose. One can easily bet 1000 euros and get 100 euros, as a free meal.

The World Cup has begun, but I will not bet (yet) on World Cup matches. Instead, I have decided to bet on 3 matches from minor leagues:

Kolbotn vs. Linderud Grei 1 @ 1.10 (Norwegian Woman soccer league)
Trans Narva  vs. Kuresaare 1 @ 1.10 (Estonian premier league)
Ekranas vs. Mazeikiai 1 @ 1.10 (Lithuanian premier league)

combo @ 1.33 bet won! New bank: 67,26 RON.

All this matches are very “sure”. Of course, everything can happen, but we’ll see.

Especially regarding the Norwegian woman premier league I observed that this competition is a gold mine. Every year the newly promoted teams are so weak that they regularly losing the matches played abroad against tougher teams.

There were also other interesting matches today, such as:

- Levadia Tallin vs. JK Nomme Kalju 1 @ 1.25 (Estonian premier league) Levadia are the current champions and they are dominating with authoriy the league, however Kalju are on the 4th place and they can get a great result. Beside this there are bookies out-there that gives 1.27 for Levadia and 8.00 for Kalju, which makes me think that the match is not so “sure”.

- Liepajas Metalurgs vs. Tranzit 1 @ 1.10 (Letonian premier league) I don’t understand why Liepajas has a quote so “sure”. Liepajas is on 3rd place with 5-3-0, and Tranzit on the 5th with 3-2-4. However all the bookies offer for Liepajas victory only “sure” quotes (1.10-1.12) and even a draw will be very well paid (6.40-7.00). For me it should be a much more tied match than it seems, so I’ve decided to not take the risk.

Regarding the World Cup matches, I suggest to refrain from betting until a full pair of matches would be played. For example, after the matches played yesterday I’m quite sure that Mexico and Uruguay will qualify from Group A while France and South Africa will go/stay home. Why this?

• France: traditionally, France’s playing style requires a good playmaker. France’s great successes came only when they had Platini or Zidane on the pitch. The current team doesn’t have such a playmaker. They play chaotically, passes are nervous, attacks are lacking precision. They rely more on individual gestures of Ribery or Anelka, but a strong defense can easily outplay them.
• South Africa: as anyone could seen on the match against Mexico, South Africa is a rudimentary team and nothing more. They are playing with 2 defense lines and hope to make a letal counter-attack that would eventually give them a goal. This is a very easy to understand playing style and I’m sure that Uruguay, who showed a strong defense against France, will beat them in the next match. Beside this, Carlos Alberto Parreira never managed to qualify a small team from the groups. He failed with Kuwait in ’82, with UAE in ’90 and with Saudi Arabia in ’98.
• Mexico: they clearly played the most beautiful football from the first day. They deserved the victory and in my opinion they are strong favorites to win the group.
• Uruguay: they showed great defense and good tactical skills. But they showed also too much fear against France. I’m sure that they will play much more relaxed in the next match, against South Africa.